Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, the New Patriotic Party (NPP) Presidential Candidate, leads in the latest poll with 49.1%, while National Democratic Congress (NDC) flagbearer John Dramani Mahama trails at 45.8%, according to findings by Professor Smart Sarpong, Director of Research and Innovation at Kumasi Technical University.
The poll, conducted as of November 16, 2024, just four weeks before the general elections, also showed Independent Candidate Nana Kwame Bediako polling 2.2% and Alan Kyerematen of the Movement for Change securing 1.2%. Other candidates collectively garnered 1.7% of the votes.
In a press release issued on November 21, Prof. Sarpong stated, “It is clear from this report that elections 2024 can be won at the first round by ONLY one of the two leading political parties, with the NPP having a higher chance of clinching a first-round victory.”
The report highlighted regional dynamics powering the leading candidates. The NPP’s stronghold regions, including Ahafo, Ashanti, Bono, Central, Eastern, North East, and Western, contributed significantly to Bawumia’s 49.1% lead.
On the other hand, Mahama’s 45.8% performance is bolstered by dominance in Bono East, Greater Accra, Northern, Oti, Savannah, Upper East, Upper West, Volta, and Western North regions.
Prof. Sarpong urged political parties to work diligently to consolidate their gains in key regions in the two weeks remaining before the December 7 elections.
He also warned against complacency, emphasizing the need to avoid potential voter shift, which he termed “reverse invasion.”
Election 2024: Manage your expectations – IGP tells Political Parties
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